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KSS Stock: Kohl’s Corporation and the Retail Rollercoaster, a 2025 Outlook

Analyzing the past, present, and future of one of America’s most watched department store stocks

BSN PARTNER by BSN PARTNER
July 30, 2025
in Companies
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KSS Stock

Introduction: What Is KSS Stock?

KSS stock refers to the publicly traded shares of Kohl’s Corporation, listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker symbol KSS.

As one of the largest department store chains in the United States, Kohl’s has long been a staple in retail investing.

The company operates over 1,100 stores across 49 states, offering apparel, footwear, home goods, and beauty products through both physical locations and a growing e-commerce platform.

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But in recent years, KSS stock has become a symbol of retail volatility, caught between shifting consumer habits, economic headwinds, and strategic pivots.

From its all-time high of $55.67 in November 2018 to its recent plunge below $10 in mid-2025, Kohl’s has faced a turbulent journey that reflects broader challenges in the retail sector.

KSS Stock
Kohl’s Corporation | Image credit: The Coin Republic

Historical Performance: From Growth to Decline

Kohl’s stock has experienced dramatic swings over the past three decades. Here’s a snapshot of its annual closing prices:

Year Closing Price Annual Change
2018 $45.49 +26.65%
2020 $30.43 -17.18%
2022 $20.34 -45.92%
2024 $13.65 -45.83%
2025 $9.58 (YTD) -29.82%

Source: MacroTrends & StockAnalysis

The stock’s decline since 2021 has been steep, driven by falling revenues, shrinking margins, and investor skepticism about Kohl’s ability to compete with e-commerce giants and fast-fashion retailers.

Financial Fundamentals

As of July 2025, Kohl’s financial metrics paint a mixed picture:

Market Cap: $1.17 billion

P/E Ratio: 13.22

Dividend Yield: 4.80%

52-Week High: $22.53

52-Week Low: $6.04

Current Price: $14.27

While the dividend yield remains attractive, the shrinking market cap and volatile price range suggest investor caution.

Kohl’s has maintained profitability, but earnings have declined sharply, from $0.98 EPS in 2024 to a projected $0.45 EPS in 2025, a drop of over 54%.

Analyst Sentiment and Ratings

Wall Street analysts remain divided on KSS stock:

Consensus Rating: Sell

Average Price Target: $8.38

High Target: $16

Low Target: $4.50

Out of 13 analysts, none currently rate KSS as a “Buy.” Most suggest holding or selling, citing weak revenue growth and competitive pressures.

Goldman Sachs recently raised its price target from $5 to $7 but maintained a “Sell” rating.

KSS Stock
Kohl’s Corporation Stock Analysis | Image credit: Yahoo Finance

Technical Analysis: Signs of a Rebound?

Despite bearish sentiment, technical indicators show potential for short-term gains:

Relative Strength Index (RSI): 60.36 (Neutral)

MACD: Bullish crossover

ADX: 35.54 (Strong trend)

Moving Averages: All trending upward except 200-day MA

These indicators suggest momentum is building, especially after a recent 62% surge in a single session, a move attributed to retail investor activity and short covering.

Strategic Moves and Partnerships

Kohl’s has made several strategic efforts to revive growth:

1. Amazon Partnership

Kohl’s accepts Amazon returns in-store, driving foot traffic and cross-selling opportunities. This initiative has been praised for blending digital convenience with physical retail.

2. Store Optimization

The company has closed underperforming locations and remodeled others to focus on activewear, beauty, and home goods—categories with higher margins.

3. Private Label Expansion

Kohl’s continues to push exclusive brands like Sonoma Goods for Life, SO, and Croft & Barrow, which offer better control over pricing and inventory.

Challenges Facing KSS Stock

Despite these efforts, Kohl’s faces significant hurdles:

Declining Revenue: Projected to fall from $16.22B in 2024 to $14.69B in 2025

Shrinking Margins: Operating income has dropped, and gross profit is under pressure

Consumer Shift: Younger shoppers prefer online-first brands and fast fashion

Debt Load: Kohl’s carries substantial debt, limiting flexibility for innovation or expansion

Future Outlook: Can KSS Stock Recover?

Forecasts for KSS stock vary widely:

Year Avg Price Target High Estimate Low Estimate
2025 $13.29 $24.60 $1.98
2026 $16.75 $32.52 $0.98
2027 $18.39 $36.17 $0.61
2030 $43.26 $63.12 $23.40

Source: StockScan & PandaForecast

While some models predict a rebound to $36 by 2027, others warn of continued volatility.

Much depends on Kohl’s ability to stabilize earnings, grow digital sales, and adapt to changing consumer behavior.

KSS Stock (Kohl’s Corporation Stock)
Stock Chart

Dividend and Income Potential

Kohl’s has historically paid consistent dividends, making it attractive to income investors.

The current dividend yield of 4.80% is well above the S&P 500 average, but sustainability is a concern. Dividend cuts could occur if earnings continue to decline.

Should You Buy KSS Stock?

Pros:

High dividend yield

Potential for short-term technical rebound

Strategic partnerships (e.g., Amazon)

Undervalued compared to historical averages

Cons:

Weak analyst sentiment

Declining revenue and earnings

High volatility and risk

Competitive retail landscape

For risk-tolerant investors, KSS may offer a speculative opportunity. But for long-term growth, caution is warranted unless Kohl’s executes a successful turnaround.

Conclusion: KSS Stock in 2025 and Beyond

KSS stock represents a classic retail turnaround story, one filled with uncertainty, potential, and volatility.

While Kohl’s remains a recognizable brand with a loyal customer base, its ability to thrive in a digital-first economy is still in question.

Investors must weigh the risks of declining fundamentals against the possibility of a rebound fueled by strategic pivots and technical momentum.

Whether Kohl’s becomes a comeback story or a cautionary tale will depend on its next few quarters, and how well it adapts to the future of retail.

Frequently Asked Questions on Kohl’s Corporation Stock

1. What does KSS stock represent?

KSS is the ticker symbol for Kohl’s Corporation, a U.S.-based department store chain listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). It reflects investor sentiment and financial performance tied to Kohl’s retail operations, including apparel, home goods, and beauty products.

2. Why has KSS stock been so volatile recently?

KSS stock has experienced sharp swings due to:

Retail sector challenges

Executive turnover

High short interest (nearly 49% of float)

Reddit-fueled trading activity, which triggered a short squeeze and multiple volatility halts in July 2025

3. Is KSS stock considered undervalued?

Some analysts and retail investors argue that KSS is undervalued based on:

Its low price-to-book ratio (around 0.27)

Free cash flow potential

Real estate assets However, most Wall Street analysts currently rate it as a “Sell”, citing weak fundamentals and declining revenue.

4. Does Kohl’s pay dividends to shareholders?

Yes. As of July 2025, Kohl’s offers a quarterly dividend of $0.50, yielding approximately 4.80%, which appeals to income-focused investors. However, dividend sustainability may be at risk if earnings continue to decline.

5. What is the 52-week range for KSS stock?

KSS stock has traded between $6.04 and $22.53 over the past 52 weeks, reflecting significant volatility and investor uncertainty about Kohl’s turnaround strategy.

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